Since 2005, PredictWallStreet has been harnessing the collective intelligence of
online investors to gain an edge in the market. We then provide that edge to:
- End users and retail investors – for free. (Learn More)
- Broker Partners – for a licensing fee. (Learn More)
- Financial Media Partners – for a licensing fee. (Learn More)
- Other financial institutions – for a licensing fee. (Contact
us for more information)
Any end user can participate in our Global Stock Prediction Community by visiting
our site and making a stock prediction. In return for sharing your stock prediction,
we instantly show you, for free:
- Poll results of what other people think.
- Accuracy of the community for the stock you predicted on.
- How sentiment on the stock has changed over time and how it compares with the stock
price.
- How bullish or bearish the community is on your stock, its sector, and its industry.
- Stocks with the highest prediction and/or tweet activity.
- A list of up to 6 daily stock Forecasts that are produced by proprietary quantitative
algorithms that process the predictions made by millions of online investors, today
and in the past.
If you register (also free), you can exchange information with other members of
the community, compete against other stock predictors for cash prizes, follow the
best predictors, and more.
While we hope you derive value from all of the features and tools on our site, we
are especially proud of our daily Forecasts. The Forecasts are NOT simply a summary
of what the community thinks. Rather, the Forecasts are the result of many years
of research developing quantitative algorithms which then PROCESS the raw prediction
input from all the community members. Sometimes the Forecasts will be in the opposite
direction of the majority of community predictions, so this distinction is important.
We release these daily forecasts, BEFORE the opening bell in NY, each trading morning.
The forecasts are of the form: "XYZ stock will close UP or DOWN from where it opens
this morning." At the end of the day we track which of our forecasts were correct
and which were incorrect. Then we calculate the theoretical profit that would have
been made trading the forecasts. Our whitepaper explains our methodology (which
is unchanged since we first announced it publically in Feb 2008). Both the whitepaper
and the graph on our homepage show the theoretical performance of trading our forecasts
since we first started releasing them publically in 2007. We consider our Forecast
performance to be the best proof that it is possible to harness collective intelligence
to solve extremely difficult problems – for example beating the market.
Our long term vision is to leverage our success in applying collective intelligence
in the financial area to other areas. We believe collective intelligence can not
only help investors make profits, but also help solve many of the problems facing
our planet and its people.
Important disclaimer: All trading in the stock market is speculative and losses
can and will occur. Commodity trading in particular involves substantial risk of
loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of
future results. PredictWallStreet, LLC is not an investment advisor or broker, and
recommends that all investors consult with a broker or financial professional before
making any trades in the stock market.
Management Team
Craig Kaplan, Ph.D., Founder and CEO – Craig is responsible for both the
vision and the patented methods that process the collective intelligence of online
investors to generate an edge in the market. Previously, Craig spent twelve years
as CEO of iQ Company and has also worked at IBM and at the University of California
Santa Cruz as a visiting professor in Computer Science. He holds MS and PhD degrees
from Carnegie Mellon University where he co-authored papers with a Nobel-Prize winning
economist. He is a member of the scientific research society Sigma Xi and has authored
and co-authored more than 30 publications, including a book and eight patents in
the software field.
Calen Lopata, Vice President of Development – Calen oversees business development,
engineering and information technology initiatives within the company and frequently
serves as technical liaison. He started working with PredictWallStreet in 2002,
developing a beta web site and the first graphical prediction interface. Outside
PredictWallStreet, he founded a successful web consulting company and spun off a
specialized online educational service. He earned his Bachelor of Science degree
in Computer Science with honors from the University of California at Santa Cruz.
Michelle Samis, Director of Business Operations – Michelle has a degree in
psychology from the University of California, Santa Cruz and a Master's degree in
Marriage, Family, and Child Counseling from Chapman University. She holds a current
California license to practice Marriage and Family Therapy. After 12 years in private
practice, during which she established the in-house Family Court Services for Santa
Cruz County, she 'retired' to work in the family wholesale warehouse business. During
her 5 years of tenure there, she developed and refined her business skills and knowledge.
She brings that experience to PredictWallStreet as she manages all business fronts
including accounting, contracts, patents, and human resources. She has been with
the company since 2006.
Mario Albuquerque, Senior Researcher – Mario focuses his research activities
on furthering progress in harnessing the power of collective intelligence. He constantly
strives to translate that into investment strategies that achieve the highest risk
adjusted returns. He is also in charge of all trading functions at PredictWallStreet,
overseeing the validation of his research work. His fascination and passion for
financial markets compelled him to pursue and achieve the CFA Charterholder designation
as well as the Master of Financial Engineering degree from the Haas School of Business,
University of California at Berkeley (2013). He strives to live according to Socrates'
quote: "The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance".
Advisors
Curt Breitfuss - Curt's experience in the financial trading markets over
the last 27 years has enabled him to create a proprietary research and development
program to seek out the most compatible and profitable trading strategies in the
hedge fund industry. Curt's tenure through many financial climates reflects the
patience, persistence, and focus it takes to run a top-ranked fund of funds for
27 years. His teaching and insights have been adopted by the rest of the management
team.
Ivan Brockman - Ivan Brockman is a Senior Managing Director with The Blackstone
Group, leading the firm's corporate and M&A advisory group in Silicon Valley. Mr.
Brockman advises companies in all sectors of technology. Prior to Blackstone, Mr.
Brockman was the co-head of Citigroup's west coast technology investment banking
efforts. In addition, Mr. Brockman was previously a Vice President with Goldman
Sachs in technology investment banking and a corporate securities and M&A attorney
with Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati. Mr. Brockman holds a B.S. with Distinction
from Cornell University and a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School.
Sid Dorr - Sid Dorr was employed in the securities industry from 1972 until
retiring in 2006. His career revolved around the trading of equity securities. He
worked at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia and Robinson Humphrey in Atlanta
before joining Charles Schwab & Co to manage their institutional business in 1989.
Mr Dorr has served on the board of the Chicago Stock Exchange as well as various
committees on the CBOE and Pacific Exchange. He holds a BA from the University of
Pennsylvania.
Mark L. Feldman, Ph.D - Mark is the CEO of Destiny Bay Wine Imports, exclusive
importer of luxury, Bordeaux‐style blends from Destiny Bay Vineyards, an artisan
winery on Waiheke Island, New Zealand. He is also the managing partner of Five Frogs
Group, a venture consultancy, and a Board member of several companies. Earlier,
Mark was a partner and global practice leader for merger and acquisition consulting
at PricewaterhouseCoopers and president of the Rubicon Group, specializing in transactions
and trade between US and Asian companies. In his over 25 years' experience in mergers
and acquisitions, he worked with such diverse global corporations as Adobe Systems,
Microsoft, Barclays Group, DaimlerChrysler, Hewlett Packard, Pearson plc, Alcoa,
JDS Uniphase, Global Crossing, McDonnell‐Douglas and Goodyear.
Frederick L. A. Grauer - Dr. Grauer chairs the Board of Directors of Purfresh,
Inc., and is a board member or advisor to Course Hero, Credit Sesame, Hamilton Ventures
Merchant Bank and PredictWallStreet. He was for nine years Senior Advisor to Barclays
Global Investors and its acquirer, BlackRock, Inc., and was for fifteen years the
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Barclays Global Investors and its predecessors.
Fred is a Trustee/Director of the American Century Mountain View Funds. Previously,
he was a member of the Management Committee of Barclays plc and a senior executive
of Well Fargo Bank with varying responsibilities, as member of its Asset-Liability
Committee, EVP and head of its Funding Group and CEO of WFIA. A Woodrow Wilson Fellow,
Fred has a Ph.D. from Stanford University and was a professor at M.I.T. and Columbia
University. Global Custodian Magazine recognized Fred as one of the 100 most important
contributors to modern finance in the 20th century. His not-for-profit focus is
on education. He is Immediate Past Chair and Charter Trustee of The Woodrow Wilson
National Fellowship Foundation, an Advisor to the Stanford Institute for Economic
Policy Research, and was formerly a Trustee of the Commonfund, the Menlo School
and the Monterey Institute of International Studies.
Melvin J. Kaplan - Melvin J. Kaplan is Chief Executive Officer of Wellington
Financial Group, an entity which invests in commercial real estate nationally. In
1987 Mel and his wife founded The Harry Singer Foundation, a nonprofit educational
operating foundation dedicated to youth development. He serves on its Board of Directors
and advises various other 501(c)(3) foundations. Mel also serves on the Board of
Aspire Public Schools, a public charter school organization that currently serves
a total of over 8,000 students in grades K-12 at 25 locations in California. Born
and raised in Boston, Mel is an alumnus of MIT and the University of California-Berkeley
where he lectured at the School of Business Administration. His specialty continues
to be problem-solving and entrepreneurship. With his wife of forty-nine years, he
successfully raised five philanthropic and entrepreneurial sons. Over the past 49
years, Mel has been active in the real estate industry as a broker, syndicator,
mortgage banker, developer, property manager, advisor and currently as investment
banker and principal.
Dr. Howard Morgan - Dr. Howard Morgan is co-founder/ partner in First Round
Capital, a seed stage venture capital firm. He has more than 30 years of experience
with more than two hundred high-tech entrepreneurial ventures. He serves on the
boards of Idealab, Fab.com, GumGum, DogVacay and other companies. Howard was a Professor
at the University of Pennsylvania, Cornell and Caltech. He a Trustee of Cold Spring
Harbor Labs and Math For America and is a respected author. He received the Entrepreneur
of the Year Award in 1997. He holds a Ph.D. in operations research from Cornell
University and a B.S. from the CCNY.